By Lou Hirsh E-Commerce Times Part of the ECT News Network
07/30/02 5:27 PM PT
While the low-price, build-to-order approach is ideal for current market conditions, Dell
might eventually need to establish a premium product line that appeals to customers
looking beyond cost.
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For the quarter ending August 2nd,
Dell (Nasdaq: DELL) expects its revenue to reach
US$8.3 billion, up about 9 percent from last year's second quarter, while earnings are
expected to increase by 19 percent.
Analysts agree that Dell's build-to-order model for selling PCs and servers not only
works well for current market conditions, but also is likely to keep rivals chasing
the company for the foreseeable future. Still, the company must overcome some potential
long-term hurdles as it seeks to boost its customer base and fend off challengers.
"All of its competitors are trying to beat Dell at Dell's own game,"
Aberdeen Group chief
research officer Peter Kastner told the E-Commerce Times.
But Kastner said rivals have found it hard to top Dell's strategy, which entails cutting
costs by keeping inventory low and preventing the problems presented by unsold, obsolete
products gathering dust on shelves.
Capturing Market Share
This build-to-order model has worked not only with PCs, but in other segments where Dell
has been capturing market share, including servers, workstations and notebook computers.
In an atmosphere in which cutting spending remains a major competitive factor, Kastner
said, Dell is poised to ride out tough times while positioning itself for the recovery,
when corporate IT investment increases.
"They're able to move the throttle much more quickly than the competition," he noted.
According to Dell spokesperson Mike Maher, the build-to-order model scales well to
products beyond consumer PCs. He said the company has positioned itself to offer
enterprise-customized products at low prices by aggressively cutting internal
operating costs.
"The current economy is a tough one, but we have been able to improve business while
cutting expenses to all-time lows," Maher told the E-Commerce Times. "It's made us
become more efficient, and we're a better company for it."
Cost-Cutting Pays
The Austin, Texas-based computer giant is continuing a drive to cut more than $1 billion
in operating costs during the current fiscal year. Combined with strategic pricing moves
over the past two years that have pressured its rivals, the results have been convincing.
CEO Michael Dell recently told shareholders that Dell's second quarter will mark the
sixth consecutive quarter in which the company has met or exceeded its operating expectations.
The company is scheduled to announce full results for the second quarter and to provide
guidance for its fiscal third quarter on August 15th.
Maher said the success of Dell's custom-build strategy in the
server and workstation
arenas will give the company a solid basis to make further inroads among
enterprise users. With its current business model, he said, Dell is poised to
respond effectively when an IT investment rebound occurs.
"It puts us in a better position to benefit customers and shareholders when spending
eventually increases," Maher said.
Kinks in the Armor?
Experts note that while Dell will likely remain strong for the time being, especially
as long as price remains king, some kinks in its armor could reveal themselves as the
ailing PC industry recovers.
One challenge could come in the storage equipment market.
Gartner (NYSE: IT) research director Mark
Margevicius said the need for customized configurations in storage is not as great
as in other technology segments, which could make it tougher for Dell to stand out.
Also, if a time comes when PC demand suddenly exceeds supply and component costs spike
significantly, the advantage might go to PC vendors that have large inventories on hand,
Margevicius told the E-Commerce Times.
He added that Dell also lags behind rivals HP (NYSE: HPQ) and
IBM (NYSE: IBM) in consulting services , and its
administrative structure does not extend beyond North America. This could hamper Dell as
it seeks to expand into countries like Italy -- which insists on dealing with companies
that have a local or regional presence -- and to attract new business in Africa and Asia.
Strategy Shifts
Dell's Maher said the company has plans in the works to beef up its global presence
and its service offerings. He pointed to Dell's recent acquisition of New York-based
Plural, which specializes in technology consulting and applications development.
Looking ahead, Dell might need to tweak its marketing to bolster its enterprise presence.
Giga Information Group research fellow
Rob Enderle said the company has struck it rich on the consumer side with advertising
catch phrases like "Dude, you're gettin' a Dell." But that approach might not play as well
with IT decision makers.
"Their 'Hey Dude' campaign actually lowers the value of their brand in the corporate
market, because the messaging is extremely counter to what an IT buyer expects to see in
a corporate product," Enderle told the E-Commerce Times.
Beyond the Dude
While the low-price, build-to-order approach is ideal for current market conditions,
Enderle said, Dell might eventually need to establish a premium product line that appeals
to customers looking beyond cost.
In the long run, Enderle added, attaining the next level might also
require Dell to separate its consumer and business product lines more effectively, in
much the same way that such large corporations as GM and General
Electric (NYSE: GE) have done.
"Dell is reaching the point where they can aspire to be the next IBM, but they will have
to become a different company to get there," he said.