The end of the year is always a good time for top ten lists and forecasts of things to come. It's a way for analysts and pundits to show how smart we are and that we "knew it all along" -- or at least to exhibit our 20/20 hindsight.
Here are my observations of what was important to CRM this year.
- Tom Siebel stepped aside as CEO of the company he built. At one
point the company was the fastest-growing software company in history,
booking a cool $2 billion in revenues in its best year. Recent years
have shown a steady revenue
decline as the software industry in general
suffered a hangover from the end of the millennium. But Siebel Systems
remains a significant competitor and a very good innovator in the CRM
space. CEO Tom Siebel became a lightening rod, a man everyone had an
opinion about -- and frequently the opinion was not positive. He remains
influential as chairman of the board, and out of the
spotlight he continues to help shape the company's direction. We haven't
heard the last from him. - Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL)
did not buy PeopleSoft. Weren't we talking about this a year
ago? No matter, try as it might, Oracle still has not closed the deal
despite clearing court hurdles and Craig Conway's stepping aside as CEO
of PeopleSoft. When Conway left it was expected that a deal would be
forthcoming, but to date there has only been haggling over price.
Haggling is frequently the last phase in a sales process. Let's hope
this gets off the front pages in the new year. Personally, I still think
this is the wrong move for Oracle. - Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM)
had a successful IPO, and so did RightNow. Nothing
proves your legitimacy like publicly listing your company, and
Salesforce did it in style by choosing to list on the NYSE -- which has
more stringent requirements -- rather than on NASDAQ. Now CEO Marc
Benioff has an even larger audience to proselytize about the benefits of
not being a software company. As a reward for its efforts, Salesforce
was promptly sued by shareholders unfamiliar with the very different
business model of hosted applications ... er ... services. Meanwhile
Bozeman, Mont.-based RightNow has introduced sales-oriented products
even as Salesforce.com has brought to market a hosted call center
service. No doubt we will see increasing competition in the on-demand
space in 2005. Regardless of what happens, these IPO's were watershed
events that confirmed the category and opened the way for new
competition. - Speaking of on-demand, additional entrants in the hosted CRM market -- Siebel, Entellium, Aplicor and others -- showed that the business model thrives, just two years after many analysts had given it up for bubble roadkill. More importantly, though, each offers what is now pretty much universally referred to as "on-demand" services, and each has very different ideas and plans for targeting the market. Among other things: Siebel offers a hybrid strategy to large and small companies, Entellium wants to be the low-cost producer, and Aplicor offers powerful workflow to augment its suite.
- Siebel decided the hosted market was so important that it had to purchase its way into it. Siebel paid north of $50 million to buy Upshot, a pioneer in hosted SFA. The acquisition was made largely for the people and expertise that Upshot had developed, though some of the Upshot functionality found its way into the Siebel product as well. There was no net reduction in competitors, because Siebel entered the market at the same time it took out Upshot. Siebel also bought Ineto, a company with hosted call and contact center technology, to help round out its hosted CRM offering. Going forward, look for a major battle to develop between Siebel, Salesforce.com and RightNow for the hosted contact center.
- Siebel's partnership with IBM (NYSE: IBM)
on hosted CRM brought a new term into
the CRM vocabulary -- "OnDemand." This alliance could have roughly the
same effect on CRM that the IBM PC had on an earlier market. - Our survey showed that marketing applications continue to demonstrate their importance, especially in small and mid-sized companies. These companies say that marketing applications have equal or greater importance to their efforts to capture the voice of the customer and improve customer retention than other CRM components such as sales and service applications.
- We identified a new category of hosted application which we called "Web Necessary" because these applications incorporate the Internet in their value propositions to a much higher degree than earlier hosted apps. Web Necessary applications have three general characteristics: They involve the Internet as an active part of the value proposition; they support innovative business processes that in most cases could not be easily supported any other way; and they are collaborative, bringing together people from disparate roles, geographies and organizations to participate in these business processes
- Salesforce.com upped the ante as it introduced new services. We've
already mentioned its hosted call and contact center, and it also took
on Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)
by introducing a revamped version of its Sforce hosted
development platform to include CustomForce.com, which enables
developers to build and maintain hosted applications that use the
company's core functionality. Salesforce.com refers to this new model as
"client-service," and we expect it to be an important part of shifting
the paradigm for the enterprise software industry. CustomForce should go
after the same market as desktop products and tools like Microsoft
Access -- small, in-house-developed applications. But down the road look
for more direct competition between this hosted development facility and
traditional tools and databases. - Salesnet, another pioneer in hosted CRM, opened up its API and introduced an innovative reseller program. Early results were strong as several resellers customized the service for specific vertical markets. This approach offers an interesting and viable contrast to Salesforce's Sforce and CustomForce approaches. And unlike Salesforce.com's approach, Salesnet's has a more direct path to revenue for partners.
Granted, other things happened in CRM this year that could be called out. But from where I sit these seemed to be some of the more important issues we have faced in the CRM industry.
If you have other ideas, drop me a line.
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Denis Pombriant is former vice president and managing director of Aberdeen Group's CRM practice and founder and managing principal of Beagle Research Group. In 2003, CRM Magazine named Pombriant one of the most influential executives in the CRM industry.

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