Sony's Shocking 'Other OS' Win and Suspect Distro Popularity Trends
A LinuxTrends [ * ] report on who's hot and who's not among Linux distros doesn't paint an accurate picture, according to blogger hairyfeet, who observed that if Google trends were the deciding factor, "I'm sure Miley Cyrus would be president of the USA by now." Hard numbers on the number of users are what's needed, he explained, "preferably broken down by country and demographic."
09/02/10 5:00 AM PT
You can't win them all, as the saying goes, and that apparently includes Linux fans.
The bad news is that the man won't get the money he had requested to compensate for an upgrade to his newly crippled PS3; the good news is that he reportedly wasn't forced to pay Sony's legal bill to boot.
Linux bloggers were none too pleased with the news.
"It's completely ridiculous," wrote chaboud on Slashdot, for example. "We already know that going into court is a crapshoot, with somewhat random results, but the one thing that we can be certain of? Having money enough to have a team of attorneys permanently on staff (like Sony) is definitely going to help tug the randomness in your direction.
"How could any court not view this as false advertising?" chaboud wondered. "My guess is that they have fresh Vaios and PS3s (i.e. hookers and blow) to spare."
Indeed, "the only thing worse than Sony doing this is that I haven't yet heard of a single legal case where the judge(s) involved seem to be taking it particularly seriously," agreed jimicus. "I really don't like the idea of living in a world where a manufacturer can release a product with features X, Y and Z only to remove Z -- even from items already sold -- at a later date."
Linux Girl couldn't have said it better.
Elsewhere in the blogosphere, meanwhile, an interesting discussion has been going on about a report published not long ago about the popularity of the various Linux distros.
Whereas Distrowatch has traditionally kept track of popularity via hits on each distribution's page on the site, LinuxTrends recently decided to take a different approach. Specifically, it entered the names of the distros into Google's Insights for Search tool and grabbed images of the resulting graphs.
The result? A pretty different view of who's "hot" and who's not; Linux bloggers weren't sure it was the right one.
"This article has absolutely nothing to do with install base, relative to the rest of the market or otherwise," complained Anonymous Coward on Slashdot, for example. "It's solely google trends, and thus completely meaningless."
'Not Terribly Encouraging'
They also weren't convinced that the results "bode well for the future of Linux," as LinuxTrends suggested.
"I don't think it does bode well for Linux," wrote je ne sais quoi. "If you look at statcounter's usage stats, while Linux has finally made it above the 'other' category, growth has essentially stalled. Worldwide, linux has gone from about 0.7% in 2009 to 0.8% in 2010."
While "that's going in the right direction, it's still not terribly encouraging," je ne sais quoi concluded. "At that rate Linux will never become a mainstream OS."
It was at that point that Linux Girl realized there was a debate in the offing. She snagged a stool at her favorite blogobar and listened in on the conversation.
'A Rehash of the Sucks-Rules-O-Meter'
"These stats are completely useless since judging an app by its Google searches is barely related to how popular the distro is," Montreal consultant and Slashdot blogger Gerhard Mack was saying. "Personally, I tend not to search Google for anything related to my distro unless I either can't figure something out or something has broken; since both happen rarely, I can't imagine I contribute much to my favorite distro on Google trends."
Similarly, "this seems like little more than a glorified rehash of the sucks-rules-o-meter, as it's apparently based on browser search terms," Hyperlogos blogger Martin Espinoza agreed. "It's no surprise to me that the most successful implementation of Linux is Android, which barely seems like Linux to the typical end user, especially in light of the success of the iOS-based devices.
"It turns out that NeXTStep with a candy coating is a lot more operating system than most users actually need on a regular basis, just as a complete Linux system with the kitchen sink, the kitchen and the municipal water plant is more than most users will ever need," Espinoza added. "It is also rather gratifying to see Debian continue to succeed in the form of Ubuntu."
'Miley Cyrus Would Be President'
If Google trends were the deciding factor, "I'm sure Miley Cyrus would be president of the USA by now," Slashdot blogger hairyfeet opined.
Hard numbers on the number of users are what's needed, hairyfeet explained, "preferably broken down by country and demographic."
Then, "developers will be able to point to hard data of how many potential customers they are losing and give these figures to device manufacturers," he said.
'I Can Prove That Ubuntu Is Crappier'
Slashdot blogger Barbara Hudson, who goes by "Tom" on the site, was inspired to take the analysis in a different direction.
"Using the same methodology, I can prove that Ubuntu is crappier than all the other distros combined," Hudson asserted, referring to a series of graphs she created plotting trends in users' complaints about the various distros.
That is, "by supplying some context, we find that Ubuntu users have an extremely disproportionate amount of problems compared to other popular distros," Hudson explained.
By way of explaining those results, "people using Ubuntu might tend to be n00bs who picked it because of the hype," Hudson suggested. "Or maybe the fugly color schemes act like waving a flag in front of a bull. What we *can* conclude is that they have way more than their share of problems."
'It Is Healthy That People Are Curious'
Blogger Robert Pogson took a higher-level perspective.
"The Google trends are not a good indicator of installed base of GNU/Linux, but they do show about what people are curious," he noted. "I think it is healthy that people are so curious about so many distros; the total of the small distros below Ubuntu are still a lot of interested computer users."
The important thing, after all, "is not what distro one is curious about," he concluded, "but that one is interested in GNU/Linux."
*ECT News Network editor's note - Sept. 2, 2010: The original published version of this article erroneously referenced Distrowatch as the author of the trends report that hairyfeet took exception to. It was actually the LinuxTrends report that he considered flawed.